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Gunter Meissner, Albin Alex and Kai Nolte:

A Refined MACD Indicator – Evidence against the Random Walk Hypothesis?

Rigorous testing of the widely used MACD indicator results in a surprisingly low success rate of 32.73% for the individually tested NASDAQ-100 stocks over a 10-year period. This study derives two methods, which address the shortcomings of the MACD indicator.

Gunter Meissner, Albin Alex and Kai Nolte

Sommario:

Abstract - Introduction

The traditional MACD Indicator

Analysis

Results

Model MACDR2 and Option Trading

Model MACDR2 and Trading Volume

Model MACDR2 and the Random Walk Hypothesis

Conclusion

References